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After over 42 years of “opening up policy” execution since 1978, China has reignited its economic engine, trying to set up a new economic development model in Xiong’an New Area in North China’s Hebei province, just like the Shenzhen Special Economic Zone back in 1980, and the difference is that Xiong’an is not about trade, it is about eco-friendly and high-end industries and well-designed landscape with digitalization and artificial intelligence being the core elements.
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Click here for part 1 of the feature
High
steel output and stocks to persist in H2
The unsolvable
uncertainties in demand will only lead to the rises in finished steel
inventories on the zealous output, which will test the Chinese steel market
resilience in the latter half of 2020, keeping the market participants always
on their
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After the robust performance in April and May, China’s domestic steel demand may step onto a down slope starting June, and 2020 may end with a 4% on-year decline in total steel consumption, while the supply glut will be even more outstanding against the retreat in consumption in H2, Xu Xiangchun, Mysteel’s senior steel analyst, warned the market at the 3rd Bohai Economic Rim Steel Conference 2020 on June 3, the first large-scale virtual conference that Mysteel held with over 1,000 dial-ins and over 50,000 views.
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China’s “two sessions” in 2020 are of even greater significance than the previous years, as the top two political sessions to start on May 21 and May 22, will not only finalize the country’s series of development tasks including economic growth for this year but will also pan out the 14th five-year (2021-2025) planning period strategy, and many industries including steel are expecting more stimulus measures from Beijing to combat against the impact of the COVID-19.
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If you find it hard to get in touch with your Japanese contacts at 9am Tokyo time though prior to the “Telework” or “working from home” practice, they would have been at the office before 8am, do not worry, they are fine, just that they are still adjusting themselves to this novel working style.
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Click here for part 1 of the feature
How low China’s 2020 GDP growth will dip to?
Before the sudden breakout of COVID-19, it was widely anticipated that China’s GDP growth would not slow down too much from the 6.1% growth achieved in 2019, may be at around 5.8-6% for 2020.
The pandemic,
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China has been injecting funding via various means such as government bonds for specific use, taxation reliefs, and subsidizing rentals and others to help support and revitalize the national economy after a stalling economy since late January for almost two months during the fight against the COVID-19.
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Nowadays, when I am counting my blessings, I will put one in the daily list, which is that I have never ever thought of testing my market understanding by trading iron ore in the physical or paper markets myself despite having been closely monitoring the market since 2004.
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China’s 81 property enterprises have filed for bankruptcy since the start of 2020, according to the official data from the People’s Court Announcement, as their promotional efforts including discounts have been futile in selling off their housing stocks so far when people dare not even step out of the door most of the time since the nationwide outbreak of Novel Coronavirus Pneumonia (NCP) in latest January.
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Earlier than usual, China’s Ministry of Finance (MOF) disclosed on November 27 to grant China's local authorities a total of Yuan 1 trillion ($142.4 billion) quota for the issuance of government bonds for specific uses, which is part of efforts to stabilize the national economy in 2020, clarifying that this is just “part of the whole parcel”.
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Steel capacity in the six major ASEAN countries is projected to reach 144.2 million tonnes/year in the next three to five years should all the integrated mills under planning come on stream as planned, Yeoh Wee Jin from the South East Asia Iron and Steel Institute (SEAISI) shared at the 2019 ASEAN Iron & Steel Sustainability Forum in Jakarta of Indonesia on November 25.
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I’ve never attended a regional event yet where the richness of the Asian region’s cultural elements in language and dress were more in evidence than at the ongoing 2019 ASEAN Iron & Steel Sustainability Forum in Jakarta, Indonesia, hosted by the South East Asian Iron & Steel Institute (SEAISI) on November 25.
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China’s central government has launched a round of thorough checks to determine actual steel output and existing steel capacities in all provinces, autonomous regions and municipalities nationwide, intending to have an accurate and clear picture of the country’s steel industry when the audit is done, an official from the one of the three governing bodies in charge of the task confirmed on Wednesday.
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China’s Ministry of Ecology and Environment (MEE) released two notices on its website on November 12 regarding winter restrictions in the Fenwei Plains and the Yangtze River Delta area over October 1-March 31 2020, with steel, coal and coke industries mentioned, though the focus has been on PM2.5 reduction and waste emission than any detailed and specific instructions in tackling coking, blast furnaces, and sintering.
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After a six-year hiatus, China’s National Development and Reform
Committee (NDRC), the country’s top economic planning body, has released its
latest industrial restructuring guidelines, effective on January 1 2020, to
direct the development of all the key 48 economic sectors including new energy,
coal, steel, nonferrous metals and mining.
The version, posted on the Committee’s
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In week-40 (28th Sep - 5th Oct’19) Indian steel prices in secondary market continued to fall owing to lack of domestic & export inquiries. Major mills announced roll over in finished steel prices for Oct'19.
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China’s crude steel production found another burst of energy during April and May – after leaping by nearly 10% over January-March – to refresh new output highs and in turn, fuel market concerns about oversupply, according to a report in China Metallurgical News on June 19, according to a report in China Metallurgical News on June 19.
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China wants more of its steelmakers to locate at the coastal areas - not just for their health but for everyone else’s. Begun tentatively a decade ago when land was needed for special events – the 2008 Beijing Olympic Games and Expo 2010 in Shanghai, to name but two – the relocation of steelmakers from city areas to coastal regions is now a heavily-promoted industrial guidance upheld by many local and provincial governments. Less widely publicized are the merits for the involved steel mills to get to know their new neighbours.
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China’s National Development and Reform Commission (NDRC), the country’s top economic planning body, is formulating policies to promote nationwide consumption of eco-friendly and high intelligence auto, white goods and electronics products, according to Xinhua reports on April 18 and April 21.
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The continuous downward adjustment seen in China’s domestic steel scrap market over the past month is likely to continue in April as steel mills’ scrap stocks may keep rising for some time, market watchers said Wednesday. But they suggested that if the next few weeks witness a sustainable rebound in finished-steel prices, the scrap market could experience moderate rises in mid- to late-April.
