Mysteel Reports and Analysis on Raw Materials

Navigate turmoil and thrive in China’s oil market with forward-looking analysis, data-driven forecasts, and actionable insights through 2030.

• Extensive Product Coverage Across the Petroleum Value Chain: Covers crude, refined oil, naphtha, and fuel oil across multiple dimensions, including supply-demand balance, import/export trends, profitability, and downstream demand outlook.
• Macroeconomic Forecasts & Energy Demand: Examines China’s GDP growth, primary energy consumption, and energy mix trends to illustrate how the policy will impact oil demand through 2030.
• Crude Oil Supply-demand Balance & Import Dynamics: Provides a forward-looking view of China’s crude oil supply–demand balance, including domestic production and consumption trends, evolving import dependence, and import quota impacts on supply security through 2030.
• Refining Capacity & Utilization: Analyzes new refining capacity additions, utilization rate trends, and independent refiners’ performance (profitability and feedstock use), highlighting evolving refining dynamics.
• Refined Products & Feedstocks Outlook: Offers granular supply–demand forecasts for refined fuels (gasoline, diesel, jet) and key feedstocks (naphtha, fuel oil), covering demand drivers (e.g. EV adoption), export outlooks, and shifts in consumption patterns for a full view of product balances through 2030.
• Value Chain Margins & Profitability: Examines profitability across the petroleum value chain, covering crude price trends, refining crack spreads (gasoline, diesel, jet fuel), refined export margins, retail fuel margins, petrochemical spreads (naphtha-to-PP/PX), and fuel oil margins.
• Policy & Regulatory Insights: Highlights implications of China’s 20th Third Plenary (focus on "development and security") and “Two New Areas” initiatives, detailing upcoming regulations (consumption tax reform, independent refinery feedstock rules, export rebate cuts) and new green fuel policies shaping the oil market.

Publishing date: May, 2025